Analytics

Monday, October 12, 2020

Post #4835 VP Debate 2020: My Take

 For those who have not seen the debate, I've embedded the video at the end of this post.

I do feel as in the first Presidential debate, this debate should have been more inclusive, e.g., Spike Cohen on the LP ticket.

Let's start with the fact that this was a vast improvement over the first Presidential debate:

According to a Fox News analysis, Biden interrupted Trump 49 times and Wallace 18 times for a total of 67 interruptions. Trump, meanwhile, interrupted Biden 71 times and Wallace 74 times for a total of 145 interruptions.

I felt Pence tended to go past his allotted time, but I also felt Harris was given some softball questions by the moderator (e.g., B. Taylor). 

I do feel, of the 4 debaters, Pence was easily the best, most polished one, despite having the hardest challenge of being the incumbent VP, following Trump's failed performance. And though I didn't particularly like either debater's performance, I felt Pence clearly won this debate going away. Harris openly ducked multiple questions, starting with distinctive policy differences in dealing with the coronavirus crisis and Pence's challenge of whether the Dems intended to pack the court if Judge Barnett is confirmed to SCOTUS. 

Both candidates missed some obvious opportunities:

  • I thought Pence should have pointed out that Harris would be a heartbeat from the Presidency of one of the oldest Presidents prospectively elected in history, with no public sector executive experience and limited federal legislative/leadership experience and accomplishments, no foreign policy experience. (Pence, among other things, is a former Indiana governor.)
  • In terms of racial justice issues, Pence could have mentioned Trump had signed the First Step Act, minority unemployment rates before the COVID-19 crisis were the lowest on record, and Trump's use of his pardon power. Not to mention he could have revisited Gabbard's brutal takedown of Harris' awful record as a prosecutor and attorney general in California. 
  • I felt Pence could have stoked Biden's dodge of the Green  New Deal vs. his progressive base and brought up the reused failed Obama/Biden recovery recipe of "investing in infrastructure, education, and green energy" had its share of scandals, like Solyndra. 
  • In terms of dealing with China, Harris completely missed two important points: the Trump Administration's retreat from TPP, a pan-Pacific trade pact not including China; and Tariff Man actually taxed US consumers, not China, including the lower/middle class.
I'll do this review a little differently. I may include my own pro-liberty mini-commentary on a topic in red ink.

#1. How would the Biden/Harris Administration handle the COVID-19 differently?

Harris implies they would be earlier, more open and frank about the realities and emphasize testing and free vaccines, while she attacked Pence's failed leadership of the task force and Trump's reorganization of the pandemic team. Pence argues early travel bans saved lives, much of the Biden/Harris  plan is basically derivative of the Trump/Pence plan, that the White House was totally in the loop, helping provide protection equipment, that drugs and vaccines were in development by February, and they hope for a viable vaccine by the end of the year. Pence counters people, not the government, should make decisions on taking COVID-19 risk. Harris says people aren't being given the information to make the right decision. Harris said she would not take a vaccine based on Trump's approval, but only on, say, Dr. Fauci's recommendation. Pence argues Harris is undermining confidence in FDA approvals.

Comment: Neither debater addresses the failed early rollout of tests, which was late, bungled, limited and defective under a federal monopoly; there was a failure to engage the private sector. We need to emphasize the need of liberating the private sector, addressing privatization of the FDA, etc.
#2. Role of the VP.

This was a fuzzily-defined question of a constitutionally-limited role. But the idea seems to be "Look, the candidates are well into their 70's, and the average life span is 78 years. Never mind Trump has risk factors (age, obesity) for COVID-19.  Are you properly being prepared to assume the Presidency? What about the public's right to know about a President's health?"

Harris argues that her unique background prepares her for this role. There is political bickering, with Harris attacking Trump's apparently low recent tax payments to the IRS and Pence taking exception to Harris' unwilling to take a COVID-19 vaccine promoted by Trump. Pence acknowledges Harris' historic nomination and counters that Trump paid millions in other taxes. 


#3. COVID Recession Job Recovery

The moderator starts by addressing Harris (rightly) noting Biden's tax hikes could adversely economic and job growth. Without specifically using the phrase, Harris argues Trump's approach is "trickle down", while Biden and she want to rebuild the economy from the bottom up. She argues that government can stoke innovation, that the Biden/Harris Administration will invest  in free community college and generous write-downs of college debt, research and science, infrastructure and green energy. She argues that ObamaCare brought insurance to 20M another Americans and argues revoking ObamaCare will expose those millions with preexisting conditions, including ongoing complications of COVID-19. She additionally claims that the Trump economic boom basically was inherited from the Obama/Biden recovery. She says that Pence voted against the US auto industry bailout, unlike Biden, and the trade war against China failed (e.g., blowback against US farm exports). She argues that despite Trump's policies, US manufacturing jobs are still down.

Pence basically responds that Trump's policy mix of tax cuts and deregulation have worked and Trump increased manufacturing jobs by 500K vs. loss of 300K under Obama/Biden.  ObamaCare and the proposed Green New Deal are economic catastrophes. He points out under Obama/Biden we had one of the slowest, if not the slowest, recoveries in US history. Moreover, Dem protectionists, including Biden, have long supported tough policies on China, like tariffs.

Comment: The manufacturing numbers likely involved cherrypicking data. For example, Dems like to use numbers from the bottom of the Great Recession, arguing Bush was responsible for early Obama tenure job losses. Pence is probably correct if we don't look at job losses under the pandemic. But the bigger picture is that manufacturing hiring has been on the decline for decades and maybe 90% has more to do with improved productivity in technology, including robotics (and to a degree, China is experiencing a similar trend. Harris is an economic illiterate who believes in failed industrial policy vs. the free market; she doesn't understand that regulations and higher corporate taxes are part of the costs of doing business and are a disincentive to invest in the American market and related jobs. Yes, no doubt that tax cuts benefit those who pay taxes, especially the wealthy; she doesn't understand that much of the wealth in question is not focused on conspicuous consumption but invested in the economy, the seed corn for future production and jobs. Real innovation comes from the private sector, not political elites and their regulations. Briefly, on the US auto industry kerfuffle: Ford Motor Company did not require a bailout, and relevant assets could have come under new, more efficient, effective management. Certainly Musk's startup success with Tesla shows  a different concept can win market share. Pence's defense of Trump's protectionism is also wrong.

#4. China/Trade/Foreign Policy

Pence holds China responsible for the spread of COVID-19. He takes pride in the purported benefits of USMCA (NAFTA #2) and points out Harris voted against it. Trump has destroyed ISIS, NATO allies are paying more of their fair share.

Harris argues Trump is responsible for mismanagement of the COVID crisis, exacerbating casualties and economic damage. Ditching the Iranian nuclear deal and the assassination of Soleimani have exacerbated tensions in the volatile Gulf Region. We have lower international support under Trump's bullying version of diplomacy, there's Russiagate, not to mention the recent Russian bounty to Taliban fighters for US casualties kerfuffle.
Comment: Pence's defense of the Soleimani assassination has long been debunked. But Harris' argument is more style than substance: both Biden and Trump are protectionists and foreign interventionists.
#5. Judge Barrett's Nomination to SCOTUS

Harris argues the winner of next month's election should nominate RBG's replacement, citing Lincoln's decision to defer a late first-term appointment. She is clear that sustaining ObamaCare and abortion rights are litmus tests for nomination. 

Pence counters Barrett is well-qualified and hopes that Harris won't exhibit the anti-Catholicism she's demonstrated against other nominees. He points out Trump's position that he has 4 years to nominate judges is constitutionally sound and challenges (unanswered) Harris to say whether the Dems would try to pack SCOTUS if Judge Barrett is confirmed. 

Comment: We libertarians are concerned about individual rights being protected against the tyranny of the legislative majority and are wary of judicial activism. Judge Barrett is definitely more consistent with that point of view than a likely Biden nominee looking to lock in progressive laws.

#6. Racial Justice

Breonna Taylor was an unarmed Kentucky black woman who was killed as police exchanged gunfire with her boyfriend, a drug dealer suspect, who claims that he had thought they were intruders.

Harris, who is black, voiced concern about unequal justice under the law and alleged systemic racial injustice issues. She brought up the Trump response to the Charlottesville tragedy and more recently his ambiguous response to the Proud Boys to "stand back and stand by". She did pay lip service to no violence at various post-incident protests. She talked about remedies like a national police registry.

Pence points out Trump explicitly rejected KKK and the like in the infamous "fine people on both sides" presser. He rejects the charge of systemic racism; he argued the Taylor case was still in process but the Dems' response to rioting and looting has been inadequate.

Comment:  We libertarians argue against the failed war on drugs, no-knock raids and too many young black men have been been trapped by poor public schools and job prospects, ending up in jail/prison with few opportunities once they are released. Another point is that the crimes in question are by the Tenth Amendment subject to local/state policy, not the federal government. One thing the central government tries to do here is to militarize police. Somewhat disappointing we didn't see more on Trump's constitutionally dubious introduction of federal police in protest cities.