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Monday, August 31, 2020

Post #4774 M: Woods on Leaving the US; Reason on Portland

 Quote of the Day

If it's me against 48, I feel sorry for the 48.
Margaret Thatcher  

Woods on Leaving the US


Reason on Portland

 

Ron Paul on CDC and Coronavirus 

Choose Life 

Political Cartoon

Courtesy of AF Branco via Townhall

Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964 

 Rag Doll/The Four Seasons

 

Sunday, August 30, 2020

Post #4773 M: SOHO Debate: Medicare For All; Civil Forfeiture Abuse at US Airports; The Mob Goes After Rand Paul

Quote of the Day

The truth does not change according to our ability to stomach it.
Flannery O'Connor  

SOHO Debate: Medicare For All

Occasionally I'll embed longer clips like a SOHO debate. Let's be clear: I oppose government healthcare in concept.

Civil Forfeiture Abuse at US Airports

The Mob Goes After Rand Paul

Choose Life

Political Cartoon

Courtesy of AF Branco via Townhall


Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964

I Get Around/The Beach Boys

Post #4772 J: Shutdown Diary; WWE

Shutdown Diary

Tom Woods had a recent podcast on recession-proof businesses. I miss the days my apartment came with a washer and dryer. Most apartments at least had a dedicated laundromat. I may have mentioned this in the past: my current complex had a weird tiny room where you had to buy an initial card with a $10 bill, and of course the apartment complex didn't have any. Their suggestion: open a local bank account. I'm not going to do that simply because they have a stupid vending machine that only accepts $10. (It's weird; it will accept $20 for refills.) I think I tried to get one from a nearby Exxon for a small purchase; no luck; even my local Walmart couldn't help. I finally gave up and started going with a local commercial laundromat. Dozens of machines, and it even accepted credit cards for refills, except for a couple of months while it awaited repair. Generally speaking, it's decent; it's always open, although generally I won't drive at 2 AM to wash my clothes. I have enough clothes that I can make do with a monthly trip. But people always need to launder clothes as well as eat.

I don't have a current RDO schedule (biweekly workday off, 8 9-hour workdays); I used to do laundry or shopping (e.g., Sam's Club) on my RDO's. So I decided to try like 8 AM this morning; I figured maybe people would be sleeping in or going to church. Nope. Maybe people can't go to church because of COVID-19 restrictions? It wasn't packed with people, but the entire left wall of dryers were in use. And I had to use non-contiguous washers because at least a half-dozen units in my normal row were offline for repair. (Are they having repair issues during the pandemic?) I noticed the TV news while I was listening to my excellent music library via Youtube Music and my Bluetooth wireless earbuds I bought from Amazon on special: they were talking about positivity rates, with the moving average in Maryland down to about 4.5%; because of family, I checked into Texas and it's down to about 12.8%. (See this Hopkins' page for COVID testing rates by state.); heuristics are difficulty to justify, but you want to see the positivity rate in the low single digits and trending downward.

There are some signs of improvement in Texas; for instance, my middle brother and his wife today took Mom to local Sunday Mass in person and afterwards took her to eat at a seafood restaurant. The last time I checked, you couldn't attend Mass in person and eating out was generally not an option.

CDC has recently changed its output format, which I found annoying, because I wanted to check the latest daily count of cases and deaths. I have a digital subscription to Washpo, and they have a decent moving average/daily cases/deaths toggle switch downpage in their COVID-19 stat page.

 

WWE

I did want to publish these comments before today's Payback PPV, just a week after Summerslam. The biggest news was Roman Reigns' surprise return and turning heel by spearing new champion The Fiend (Bray Wyatt) and former champ Braun Strowman. WWE is featuring Reigns' challenge in a Triple Threat match match tonight where it's expected that Wyatt will job his newly won title to Reigns, unless somehow Strowman joins the Fiend in derailing Reigns. What was another swerve was Reigns' apparent new adviser, Paul Heyman, formerly Brock Lesnar's exclusive advocate. That is puzzling, since I didn't think Reigns had promo issues--unless perhaps we see Lesnar returning to even the odds against Strowman.

I'm now seeing how Bayley and Sasha will start their long-anticipated feud. Apparently Sasha had intervened to save Bayley's title from Asuka, but Bayley failed to do the same for Sasha. They have a tag title defense against the unlikely feuding tag team of Nia Jax and Shayna Baszler. Everyone expects the champs to lose, leaving Sasha "no belts". It's just a question of how they'll do it. Will Bayley bail out on Sasha, leaving her to fight Jax and Baszler on her own?

The other thing I appreciated was Sami Zahn's surprising return to confront the "new" champion Jeff Hardy. (Zahn in his COVID-19 sitout had his title vacated by WWE).

The other thing of note is that the Orlando Thunderdome fans are virtual ones. Apparently one showed a photo of dead wrestler Chris Benoit on his screen and got banned. (The murder-suicide madman Benoit has been banned from WWE since his crimes.)

Post #4771 J: Maryland Gets the Election Right

 Election Day every 4 years has always been a mixed blessing for me. Long lines to do my civic duty. I remember living in a racially integrated Maryland neighborhood during the Obama elections (Cummings was my Congressman). I already knew Obama, who I didn't support, was going to win; still, I was inspired by the long lines of people of color, many bringing their small children to share in those historic moments.

It's been a weird year with somehow my private cellphone getting texted by a GOP House candidate in Charleston, SC and a struggling incumbent GOP senator from Arizona. As a nominal Republican I had already left the GOP while in SC in the spring of 2016 with Trump's hostile takeover. I had moved to Arizona shortly thereafter as a  registered Libertarian. I'm not sure how the campaigns got my phone number. I'm particularly unhappy with McSally who has been too Trumpkin for my tastes. I haven't been in either state for 3 years. I would likely still vote for either if they were on my ballot (although I would consider LP challengers). 

Trump seems to be taking every step he can to suppress the vote, which is intrinsically immoral, corrupt and self-serving. Given the pandemic, there's uncertainty over in-person voting. For example, Maryland reports a possible shortfall of several thousand election judges statewide. Now, personally, I don't regard polling places as any riskier than grocery stores. And let's freely admit alternative voting schemes, like Vote By Mail, do not have the integrity controls over chain of custody of ballots. And to : be honest, voter rolls are notoriously inaccurate: duplicate registrations, obsolete registrations (relocated voters), ineligible voters (e.g., deceased), unregistered voters, etc. From 2014, I made 4 interstate moves. I think I got one notice, from Arizona, some time after I moved. (Obviously they learned from USPS or some other source my new mailing address. I had assumed when I register to vote at my new address, my former state/local registration was canceled; quite often, I just register to vote when I go to DMV/MVA to register for a replacement license/car registration on relocation. Maybe not. I've never tried to vote twice in an election. I know I would carefully scrutinize out-of -state voters, especially if I were in a residential college community.)

I don't want to fear-monger about the USPS, but to give an example, I continue to occasionally get mail for prior apartment residents, even legal summons, years into my own lease and it's not uncommon to get mail intended for a neighbor. What if the family gets a deceased relative's mail? Not to mention the USPS notorious "lost mail" issue? How do I become aware that my ballot is lost vs delayed in the mail? Is there a way to void the missing ballot? Not to get paranoid here, but suppose the letter carrier is a Biden supporter, and he knows you've bought MAGA caps. Maybe you never see your ballot, which is not to say it's not used by somebody, say a Biden supporter. Not to mention issues in returning your ballot; paper ballots, e.g., can be damaged in mishandling or deliberately rendered unusable--or delayed until the election deadline passed.

Trump has knowingly fear-mongered the risks associated of Vote By Mail schemes. Being intellectually lazy, he really hasn't fleshed out the risks but merely asserted corruption. Major fact checkers have basically argue that Trump hasn't provided compelling evidence for his assertions; let's be clear: the country has only had limited experience with comprehensive vote by mail; and this is beyond our generally small-scale exposure to absentee ballots.  There are ways to crosscheck absentee ballots for vetted applications (note that progressive trolls have accused Trump of hypocrisy for requesting absentee ballots from Florida), but how scalable are related controls, especially in the rush preceding election day? The point is, if voting by mail was a good idea, we would have implemented it decades ago. We really need to implement an IT solution (perhaps with voter smartcards) but as I pointed out in a recent post there is a major issue involving device security among other things. 

Trump has consistently opposed Vote By Mail, and there has been speculation that recent decommissioning of mail sorters is intended to sabotage Vote By Mail efforts. Let's be clear: the USPS processes over 180 M pieces of mail a day, and Clinton/Trump votes in 2016 amounted to 130 M votes. The USPS can easily accommodate the volume. The USPS is seeing decreasing volumes of its cash cow first-class mail business and is working on expanding its more profitable packaging business. It also looks like Trump is inclined against signing USPS bailout money, which Obama calls "kneecapping the USPS". Now personally I oppose bailouts in concept and have long called for privatization of the USPS; but any attempt for Trump to abuse his veto power for self-serving purposes like trying to suppress voting is unconstitutional, even though technically he has the constitutional right to veto. I do think politically Trump will pay a price for anything looking like he's trying to manipulate the election.

Trump has been arguing fraud from the get-go. Among other things is his bogus claim that ineligible undocumented resident votes kept him from winning a vote plurality in the 2016 election. So here he's trying to set up a disingenuous pretext for rejecting the election results in just over two months. 

So in a recent post, I noted there was no need to depend on the USPS for delivery at ballots. There's no reason you shouldn't be able to hand-deliver ballots at a local elections office or a ballot drop box. My local Walmart not only sells postage stamps, it has a USPS mail receptacle in front of the complex. On Twitter the other day, I noticed that Trump was even protesting Pennsylvania ballot drop boxes. This won't go anywhere; states, not the federal government, run elections.

I had started this essay the night that Trump delivered his nomination acceptance speech from the White House. In my mail Thursday was a 2-page letter of voting information from Maryland on the upcoming general election. I think Gov. Hogan ensured in-person voting election day is an option, including early voting centers. Voting by mail is an option; you can have your ballot mailed, you or a surrogate (with an agent form) can pick it up or you can print the ballot via the Internet (they explain this is a slower tabulation option). You can mail the ballot back, drop it off at a designated drop box, or hand-deliver it to your local election office.

The one question I had was when I registered to vote by mail, when could I expect my ballot (choosing mail delivery of the ballot)? The MD AG implied 3 weeks before the election, but Maryland had announced they would start tabulating (but not releasing results) as early as Oct. 1. So I got an email from Maryland this morning acknowledging my application, saying it should arrive between 30-45 days before election day.

So chances are, I'll cast one of the first votes in the nation for Jo Jorgensen. And I'll probably trust the USPS to deliver my ballot as a symbolic middle finger to Trump.

Saturday, August 29, 2020

Post #4770 M: Econtalk on COVID-19; Woods on Shutdown-Proof Businesses

 Quote of the Day

When a man is willing and eager, the gods join in.
Aeschylus  

Econtalk on COVID-19 

The May talk with Romer has not appeared in the blog, but I might have embedded the March talk with Cowen earlier. I include it after the Romer for reader convenience and also because Roberts references it in the first video.
   

McClanahan on the End of Boat Shoe Progressives

 

Woods on Shutdown-Proof Businesses

Choose Life 

Political Cartoon


Courtesy of Mike Lester via Townhall

Musical Interlude #1 Hits 1964

World Without Love/Peter and Gordon

Friday, August 28, 2020

Post #4769 M: Kibbe Interviews Ron Paul; Can the GOP Survive Trump?; Tom Woods on the Case For Meat

 Quote of the Day

The person who removes a mountain begins 
by carrying away small stones.
Chinese proverb  

Kibbe Interviews Ron Paul

Can the GOP Survive Trump?

Tom Woods on the Case For Meat

Choose Life


Political Cartoon

Courtesy of Chip Bok via Townhall


Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964

Chapel of Love/The Dixie Cups

Thursday, August 27, 2020

Post #4768 M: Remy is Back Lampooning the Fed; The Socialism of Jurassic Park

 Quote of the Day

The first responsibility of a leader is to define reality. 
The last is to say thank you.
Max DePree

Remy is Back Lampooning the Fed


The Socialism of Jurassic Park

Choose Life

Political Cartoon


Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964 

 Love Me Do/The Beatles
 

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Post #4767 M: Repeal the Jones Act!; Woods on the New LP Chair

 Quote of the Day

The States can best govern our home concerns 
and the general government our foreign ones. 
I wish, therefore ... never to see all offices transferred to Washington, 
where, further withdrawn from the eyes of the people, 
they may more secretly be bought and sold at market
Thomas Jefferson 

Woods on the New LP Chair

  

McClanahan on the Battle For FLOTUS

 

Repeal the Jones Act!

Choose Life 

Political Cartoon

Courtesy of Steve Breen via Townhall


Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964

My Guy/Mary Wells

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Post #4766 M: Stossel on the Spending Bidding War (Trump v Biden); McClanahan on Woke Names

 Quote of the Day

I have always been dissatisfied with my gifts
Sigmund Freud  

Stossel on the Spending Bidding War (Trump v Biden)


McClanahan on Woke Names   

   

Choose Life

 

Political Cartoon


Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964 

Hello, Dolly/Louis Armstrong. Louis knocked the Beatles off the top of the chart.

 

Monday, August 24, 2020

Post #4765 M: Reason on Science Denial on the Left; McClanahan on Biden's Acceptance Speech

 Quote of the Day

It is customary these days to ignore what should be done 
in favour of what pleases us.
Plautus  

Reason on Science Denial on the Left

 

McClanahan on Biden's Acceptance Speech


The Espinoza Decision and Blaine Amendments


Choose Life

Political Cartoon

Courtesy of Tom Stiglich via Townhall


Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964 

Can't Buy Me Love/The Beatles. Hat trick at #1, overall from the beginning of Feb. to the beginning of May.

Sunday, August 23, 2020

Post #4764 M: McClanahan on the French Revolution Come to America; Ron Paul on COVID-19 Authoritarianism

 Quote of the Day

The glory of friendship is not the outstretched hand, 
nor the kindly smile, 
nor the joy of companionship; 
it is the spiritual inspiration that comes to one 
when he discovers that someone else believes in him 
and is willing to trust him with his friendship.
Ralph Waldo Emerson  

McClanahan on the French Revolution Come to America


Woods on Gun Rights

 

Ron Paul on COVID-19 Authoritarianism

Choose Life

Political Cartoon

Courtesy of Henry Payne via Townhall

Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964 

She Loves You/The Beatles. Consecutive #1 hit on the charts for the Fab Four. And they would turn it into a hat trick.

Post #4763 Commentary: The Coarsening of American Politics

 Well, first of all, in writing a piece like this, I'm well aware that left-liberal partisans might be inclined to label me a hypocrite, even a "racist", having recently calling Barry Obama a former "Asshole-in-Chief" (to which a troll replied that I lacked "class")? Well, to a degree, guilty as charged. If I want to win friends and influence other people, I should avoid provocative language. Make no mistake; we academics can find 1001 other ways to call someone an asshole without using that word. Then why use that word? Primarily to signal my displeasure with Obama's character. And to be honest, I'm not singling out Obama for criticism. I've made it clear I've political and/or personal differences with every President during my lifetime including a wide array of disparaging XXX-in-Chief insults directed at Trump (including Moron-in-Chief this morning.)

I differ from the Trump Derangement Syndrome trolls in that I rarely tweet for the purpose of insulting someone. If and when I use a disparaging term, it's for the rhetorical equivalent of a Cher bitch-slap ("Moonstruck", snap-out-of-it). Let's be clear: I've never liked Obama personally. And it has nothing to do with his absentee African dad's skin color. As much as I loathed Obama's policies, I never tolerated the bullshit birther conspiracy nonsense, which I think Trump promoted purely to win favor with GOP right-wing nutcases for a future Presidential run. I have mentioned I found Obama's unflappable demeanor preferable to Trump's crude, bullying personal style. This is not to say I liked him as a person; he's just as much a narcissist as Trump; in fact, I have a blog tag devoted specifically to Obama's narcissism. Obama and his minions have put lipstick on his  pig legacy, claiming an administration free of scandal, a laughable state of denial. This is a guy who abused his authority in office with unconstitutional executive actions/orders, his infamous "phone and pen", including DACA (I personally am pro-immigration, but Obama never acted on this when he had a super-majority in the 111th Congress--until after he lost the House in his first mid-term.) This is a guy who constantly blamed Bush for the 2008 economic tsunami, never mind the fact he was a member of the Dem Congressional majority in 2007. And I personally loathed Obama for interventionist policies, even after winning the Nobel Peace Prize (for not being George W. Bush), supersizing undeclared drone wars, meddling in Libya disastrously and other areas, and doing ZERO to expedite Bush's own timetable to withdraw from Iraq and/or Afghanistan, despite winning the Dem nomination pointing out he had the judgment to oppose the Iraq War (while an Illinois state senator).  Under Obama, we had the slowest economic recovery in American history. On nearly every human freedom index, we lost ground during his tenure in office. We literally doubled the national debt.

But the intent of this post is not to bash Obama.  What was the context of the "asshole" comment? Obama studiously avoided endorsing his own VP  during the competitive phase of the Dem primary. These Dem trolls bought into Obama's self-serving rationale for not endorsing Biden when it counted. Now, of course, Biden repeatedly cited his part in the Obama Administration, and black voters were his most loyal supporters. Perhaps Obama wanted to avoid the appearance of siding against other candidates of color (i.e., Harris and Booker) or a backlash from the progressive wing of the party.

Let's be clear: I oppose Biden's election to the Presidency. But as a matter of personal loyalty, I thought what Obama did/didn't do was appalling. Humphrey, Mondale, and Gore had won nominations after serving as VP. Now I could understand, given Clinton's narrow nomination loss in 2008, why Obama didn't push Biden in 2016. But I didn't see Obama's failure to endorse Biden early as a feature but as a personal character flaw. Now, granted, Obama could have snuffed out Biden's candidacy fairly early by criticizing his performance or saying something like "If I had been able to run a third term, Joe wouldn't have been my VP." But the Dem trolls' waxing enthusiasm over Obama's noble motives in not siding with his running mate was nonsense; Obama didn't want his own standing in the party to be impaired by a prospectively controversial endorsement, especially in the progressive wing of the party.

Now the personal attacks against political figures have been part of the political history of the US, at minimum since the Adams/Jefferson election of 1800. Now personally, I wouldn't trust Trump alone with a female relative. I don't like his name-calling, his offensive tweets, and 1001 other things. I think he sucks as a role model; I'm appalled by his having cheated on a pregnant wife with a porn actress and paying her hush money. I don't like his nepotism in the administration, the way he has treated Comey, Sessions and others as his personal bitches. I'm livid at his unconstitutional executive orders and diverting appropriations for the sake of his Southern border wall. I'm nauseated by his counterproductive anti-free market, anti-trade, and anti-immigration stands and adding over $6T to the national debt.

But the number of personal threads against Trump on Twitter is intolerable. The trolls are repetitive and boring; I think I've seen "Trump the Rapist"/"grab them by the pussy" references and the clip of him mimicking a disabled reporter nearly every day on Twitter. Every day it seems multiple people are holding him accountable for COVID-19 deaths. Let's be clear: people die each year for preventable diseases, including the seasonal flu. And Nursing Home Killer Cuomo put infected COVID-19 patients in nursing homes, not Trump. I have my own criticisms of Trump's handling of things during the pandemic, including testing.  But these personal attacks are mostly one-sided, nearly all from the left-wing of politics.

I personally snapped when I saw leftist trolls attack Trump over the death of his own baby brother Robert, even pointing out that Trump played golf on the day of Robert's death. Other trolls wanted to suggest (wrongly) that Robert died from COVID-19. (Robert had had brain bleeds following a fall.) Decent people express condolences on the passing of a family member. Not these jerks. No matter how I dislike Trump as POTUS, he is still a human being who lost a loved one. I wrote a related tweet which attracted 8.5K views.

Personally, I think Trump is a piece of work. But I could deal with personal failings, not so much for public policy failures and his betrayal of our constitutional government. It looks like the Dems are pivoting to an "I like Uncle Joe Biden" election campaign. I may prefer Joe's personality but his policies are lethal to this country's economy and constitutional order. We need an end to the imperial Presidency. Let's be clear: neither Obama nor Biden have a silver bullet to kill the pandemic. Biden could be Obama 2.0 with an even slower economy. Will I vote for Trump? No: Jo Jorgensen.

Post #4762 Social Media Digest

 Facebook

 

 Some miscellaneous Facebook comments:

  • [Both Dem and GOP POTUS votes are equally bad.] Well, the issue has more to do with one-party government. The Dems have been hinting for a long time they want to do away with the filibuster if and when they regain control of the Congress. Personally I've been Never Trump since he announced for office. But be clear: a Biden presidency would be catastrophic.
  • Jo would not intervene in a voluntary transaction between pizza maker and customer, even in adding something as disgusting as pineapple.
  • Which socialism are you referring to: Biden's classic version or Trump's national version? Jo is the only true capitalist candidate.
  • [This may have been an anti-vaxxer thread.] You don't have a right to impose your disease onto me. It's a violation of the non-aggression principle
  • Any reasonably informed libertarian is aware of this Reason interview in 1975 with Reagan. He considered himself as a minarchist, not an AnCap. You can argue that practically he did not live up to his ideals, but he faced a Dem House all 8 years. https://reason.com/1975/07/01/inside-ronald-reagan/
  • Spoken like a goddamn moron who doesn't know some 97% of jobs pay over the minimum wage without government mandates, that a large plurality of minimum wage workers are entry-level workers with no dependents. Real wages grew in the Gilded Era without government mandates, and Ford raised wages and benefit without a parasitic union.
  •  I'm skeptical of training. What I agree with is accountability. We need to end corrupt police union protections and qualified immunity.
  • Nope. The correct libertarian position is that the police should be privatized.
  • Nope. Reagan did control the Senate his first 6 years, but the Dems controlled the House 1955-1994. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Speakers_of_the_United_States_House_of_Representatives
  • I've repeatedly tweeted and posted support for Jorgensen. Not getting much, if any, response, e.g., engagements on Twitter. She's not polling above, say, 2% nationally, she doesn't have high name recognition. A few relatives, mostly nephews, privately say they lean libertarian; unfortunately, most people want their votes to count towards the winner. For me, it's a matter of principle.
  • [What would JJ do without a Congressional majority?]  No, executive orders certainly can undo past unconstitutional executive orders. In part, Jorgensen can probably build coalitions depending on the context, e.g., urban communities and progressives on criminal justice reform, conservatives on spending reforms, etc. She also has veto authority and only needs to sustain with a third-plus in one chamber of Congress. Basically, though, she wants to persuade and would use the bully pulpit.
  • [Penalize large families for being a taxpayer burden?] I'm the oldest of 7, and every sibling has been a blessing. Five of us hold college degrees, 3 with advanced degrees. Six of us have been taxpayers. I've been a professor and IT consultant; my siblings include an RN, chemical engineer, a teacher/librarian, Air Force veteran, and a CPA. The proposal is insane. I'm the only one who is childless; the children are our future.
  • Economic sanctions are an act of war. Screw the unprincipled bastards who support this. I believe in an open door to Hong Kong refugees, but screw those supporting a protectionist POTUS!
  • [An internal libertarian meme/joke. I'm a minarchist.] I think the guy with the shovel is an AnCap.
  • Twitter

    Well, it looks as though I'm in Twitter Mommy's jail again for the fourth time in 6  weeks, with impressions/views down to less than a dozen or so per tweet. Either they're manipulating stats or they are isolating my tweets by being viewed by almost all Twitter users, maybe not for my 7 or so followers. . Now not every tweet I write has wide readership and I can't prove what the audience should have been, but to give one simple telling statistic: for the past month I divided my total tweets into total impressions: 235.4 impressions/tweet. Granted, that's skewed by things like my 8.5K impression tweet on an insensitive Robert Trump funeral trend. Several tweets like ones where I attach media or posts usually don't pick up a lot of impressions. But usually I'll pick up a few dozen impressions or more on most tweets. So when you see a span of several hours a string of consecutive tweets with less than a dozen impressions, it's highly improbable to be explained by my having an unusual dry spell. Now under the old account, they would lock me out of my account and force me to delete an offending tweet before starting a suspension. I've been careful against giving them an excuse over use of language, etc.

    My tweet stats overall have been down, except a nominal increase in followers and mentions. The latter are unusual in the sense I only see a fraction of purported replies. I'm not sure; it could be a number of trolls block me after flaming me. Maybe a quarter of my top 20 tweets by impressions don't reach my informal 1K benchmark. Maybe 3 or 4 hit that mark over the past week. A number will roll off over the coming week. I'll sometimes look at my reply tweets stats. Usually you won't get many, especially if the trend is over. I did notice, though, a recent union-critical tweet pulled in over 700 impressions and an unusual count of engagements.

    Saturday, August 22, 2020

    Post #4761 M: McClanahan on Obama's DNC Speech; Woods Interviews Malice; Are Developers Evil?

     Quote of the Day

    Character is like a tree and reputation like its shadow. 
    The shadow is what we think of it; 
    the tree is the real thing.
    Abraham Lincoln  

    McClanahan on Obama's DNC Speech

    Woods Interviews Malice

    Are Developers Evil? 

     

    Choose Life

     

    Political Cartoon

    Courtesy of Gary Varvel via Townhall

    Musical Interlude: #1 Hits 1964 

     I Want To Hold Your Hand/The Beatles. For 7 weeks!

     

    Post #4760 J: Shutdown Diary

    Dreams

    I don't really dream about meeting Presidents or nominees for the Oval Office. I do recall one where Trump made a cameo appearance about a job opportunity. But one-on-one encounters, no. Until now.

    For context the setting was the Newman Center at UH, at least then across the street from the east perimeter of campus. This was staffed by the Roman Catholic Dominican order. I had started on my MBA part-time and had switched from my home parish in southwest Houston to masses on campus. There were lots of reasons: going to church with people more my age, and one was the hope of dating nice Catholic women, maybe getting married one day. My original parish did have a young adults group, but it was a joke: mostly bachelors like me. The women preferred to go with the more professionally populated 30-and-up group; I just remember one lady coming once to the group, and it took her maybe 5 minutes to pick out (another) guy and leave with him. I've seen drive-through lanes at McDonald's take more time than that. The rest of us just shook our heads. Yes, I did date a few women while at Newman but nothing serious; I had one particularly bad relationship where she didn't react well to my decision to break up, and I ended up leaving Newman to avoid uncomfortable encounters.

    I really joined Newman about 6 weeks into my first semester when I attended the first of a string of many once-a-semester retreats. It's where I first met my accounting PhD student friend Tim, who would later go on to become a professor at the University of San Diego. (Years later, I would make my own campus visit to USD, no offer.) Next to office mate Bruce, Tim was probably my closest friend at UH, even though he was pretty much a "progressive" politically. (I don't think Bruce and I ever talked politics, but he was a conservative, devout Protestant.) I also remember the first retreat vividly because my first nephew was born on the opening night of the retreat. Within a few months, I became part of what I call the core dozen or so members of Newman. As I eventually transitioned into full-time student status around year 2/3, the Newman Center became my refuge from the stresses of academic life. (The rumor was that the troublesome coed saw me as her gateway into the inner circle; I had caught her eye because I was one of the few men to wear suits to mass.)

    A long context to explain the dream where I met Joe Biden at Newman. Now, of course, that might not seem to be that unusual in the sense Biden's nomination this week, the pinnacle moment of his political career, has dominated the headlines. But the fact is I haven't watched a Democratic Convention for over 20 years and for the most part sidestepped the media, including relevant Twitter trends. Also, note that Biden is a fellow Catholic; I have repeatedly pointed out that I despise his politically opportunistic pro-abort stand along with other Catholics in Name Only, like Pelosi, Cuomo and others, a point in a recent post on why I'll never support Biden. The encounter wasn't long; I was like in an empty room at Newman, Biden popped in wearing a two-piece powder blue suit and tie and did some retail meet 'n greet politics of the sort, "Hi, I'm Joe Biden, and I'm running for President. I would appreciate your vote next Tuesday." I respond civilly, but I'm thinking, "Dude, you're barking up the wrong tree." A bit later I run into Hunter Biden (I've never seen his picture, but it was clear from context). He quickly realizes I'm not a Biden supporter, and he can't leave the room fast enough.

    As an aside, I've almost never met a politician in person, attended rallies, etc.. Well, way back when I was in my teens, I attended a San Antonio rally for President Nixon at the airport. That's about as close (a few yards) as I ever got to a celebrity. A few months later I was cheering on his inevitable impeachment, which he ended by resigning from office.

    COVID-19 Shutdown Diary

    Cars

    My new(er) car's first birthday was over the past week. I've never been a car enthusiast; in fact, 2 of my first 3 cars were used, and I ran almost all of them years after paying them off, more or less running 100K or more miles on each.. As I mentioned, I probably would still be running my old GM car except GM dropped the brand shortly after I bought the car and in recent years every repair became a car life or death decision. The worst was when my brake line snapped in South Carolina, and it took a dealership a week to decide they didn't want to take the work (re: parts). I had never seen a dealer leave money on the table before. I found a brake shop which fabricated its own lines and demanded about $2300. (I did look at buying a new car, but I was between jobs (my government contractor employer had lost their recompete bid) and couldn't get financing--from the same lender who financed the original car).) Still, I got 3 more years out of the car, so it was probably worth it vs. new car payments for 3 years. But more recently I had an incident I think I wrote about a couple of years back when my transmission shift cable broke and my mechanic finally found a replacement part from a salvage yard.

    The death blow was the stupid biannual Maryland vehicle emissions test. I've lived in Maryland twice since 2004, all in the same car, never had a problem--until last summer. I took it to my trusted mechanic who said basically it could be any of 2000 things and I could burn through thousands of dollars getting to the bottom of it: why put that kind of money on a car with almost no market value? He said there might be a way to work the system  to get grace periods for repairs and defer my day of reckoning. Luckily this time I had a job and could arrange financing for a new car.

    I really never put a lot of miles on the car in recent work; I lived maybe 5 miles from work, a couple of miles from the grocery store or my doctor's office. MVA and the local hospital is about 15 miles away. The longest trips I've taken in prior years were for funerals in New England. Occasional trips to Baltimore or BWI are maybe a 40-minute drive away. 

    So I bought a new car a year ago. They gave me almost nothing on a perfectly functional car other than  that stupid emissions test (and it wasn't exactly blowing out smoke). I think my last trip to Jiffy Lube cost more than they gave me on a trade-in, never mind my last two near-new tires. Not even the equivalent of one of my monthly payments over the coming 5 years. 

    I do wince a bit over my monthly payment. I love the car though; the sensors are outstanding: it detected a pedestrian walking in the middle of the street as I was starting to pull out. I'm averaging over 50 mpg. I play the fantastic music library on my cellphone via Bluetooth.

    So I had my first annual maintenance inspection. And the service guy of color said, "Dude, have you even driven the car?" It had maybe 1600 miles on it. Well, under the COVID-19 shutdown, I've done almost no driving, other than maybe a weekly grocery run. Probably the longest drive to date was an in-person job interview in the Harrisburg, PA area; the interview went well but the job offer fell through for paperwork reasons. Occasionally I'll go to my worksite for laptop or security stuff but my worksite has still most people working remotely. So for the most part, it ended up being like a glorified oil change, rotation of tires, topping off my fluids. Oh, I got maybe a $10-20 COVID rebate on my car insurance. Wow, that'll buy me lunch at a McDonald's drive-through.

    Work

    I think I mentioned in my last journal post while I was at the dealer, local TV hosts were talking Maryland downward COVID-19 trends like maybe a 5% positive test rate. At work, they noticed a 2-week long trend of declining statistics necessary to get to phase 2; they had almost gotten to phase 2 a few weeks back when we had a local resurgence, and this time we've gotten back to a downward trend and gotten to the heuristic milestone.

    Niece Teacher

    I have 2 nieces and 2 nephews who are or have been full-time teachers (the two nephews rarely keep in touch and the younger niece I hear from occasionally). I know Trump has been trying to intimidate public schools and colleges into opening up in-person instruction this fall. I'm not going to get into the politics here; I have issues with both sides. I loathe the fear-mongers portraying schools as death traps, and Trump doesn't understand the principle of federalism (i.e., the states have responsibility for health security and public education).

    I recently mentioned how my older niece, who has struggled finding full-time teaching opportunities in Colorado, Missouri, and Ohio after leaving her Kansas public school job for marital reasons, had recently gotten a private school job offer for this fall. For the most part, private schools are shielded from the politicized world of public education; I really haven't seen much press on how schools that are opening for in-person instruction over the next few weeks are handling the COVID-19 health risks.

    So I asked my niece, out of curiosity, whether she was doing in-person instruction and what kinds of measures were they implementing if so: e.g., temperature checks, face masks, etc. NOTE: this is anecdotal information, so don't try to generalize beyond this school. It's just one approach, and other schools may employ alternative policy nixes.

    She answered in the affirmative. (I'm going to paraphrase here because I didn't ask for permission to quote.) (Part of the reason I asked about the face mask thing is I do know in the lower grades she teaches, there're more encounters at the child's desk.) So she said yes, they'll be doing temperature checks in the morning, maybe a second around lunch period. Children will wear face masks, and I believe there will be some barriers among desks. She has the option of wearing a face shield and/or masks near the kids; she doesn't have to wear a mask when she's at the front of the class.

    Article of the Day

    This WebMD article is a decent read. It specifically points out mixed evidence on masks. This caught my eye, but note that the evidence has little statistical power:
    A small study in South Korea found neither surgical nor cotton masks effectively filtered the virus when an infected patient coughs. While the study has gained attention, it was only conducted on four patients, which is too small a study to apply to the world at large.
    The context is that the primary purpose of the mask is to prevent YOU from spreading your virus to others. There are other insights that caught my attention relative to the context like this:
    Researchers also found higher amounts of the virus on the outside of masks than on the inside.

    Entertainment

    Wrestling

    Well, the second major WWE PPV, Summerslam, is tomorrow, and to be honest, there's little compelling stuff. Dominik Mysterio, 8 inches taller than his wrestler dad Rey Mysterio, is booked into a revenge match against Seth Rollins in an absurd storyline where Rey "lost" an eye in the recent PPV. I've seen no wrestling moves from Dominik; he's mostly engaged in ambush attacks, especially with illegal objects (kendo sticks). He lacks his dad's speed and agility. I have no idea what qualifies him to debut in a match against a former WWE champion. I suspect Rey will attempt to intervene in the match and perhaps set the stage for a father-son tag team to battle Rollins/Murphy.

    The storylines seem to suggest Randy Orton going over McIntyre for the WWE title and The Fiend going over a heel-turning Strowman, the latter seeming to involve Alexa Bliss, possibly in connection to the Bray Wyatt legendary Sister Abigail story. The women's titles, held by buddies Bayley and Sasha, are in danger of being lost to Asuka on the same PPV, and it's seeming like we're heading to an eventual Asuka/Baszler feud. The way I see this playing out is Asuka beats Sasha, but Bayley retains--and is confronted by an angry Sasha. That prediction and $5 will get you a coffee at Starbucks.

    In other news, there is a Rebribution/invasion gimmick by masked heels, not sure if it'll play out in the championship matches. It also seems like WWE is transitioning from its Performance Center to the Thunderdome in Orlando.