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Saturday, April 4, 2020

Post #4543 M: The Virtue of Price Gouging; Massie on the Coronavirus Relief Bill Kerfuffle

Quote of the Day

People need to be reminded more often than they need to be instructed.
Samuel Johnson  


My Wrestlemania Predictions

If you read my earlier post, I successfully predicted:

  • Owens beat Rollins.
  • Zahn successfully defended his Intercontinental championship over Daniel Bryan.
  • Strowman beat Goldberg in pretty much a squash match.
I was wrong in believing Raw women's champ Becky Lynch, who has held the belt since last year's Wrestlemania, might lose to former NXT champ Shayna Baszler, who had been booked as an unstoppable force in qualifying for the right to challenge Lynch (and had gnawed the back of Lynch's neck into a bloody mess in an earlier attack). I had speculated former RAW champ Ronda Rousey, a Baszler MMA ally, might interfere in a revenge angle. Lynch countered Baszler's finisher for the win. Now of course Lynch is a highly popular babyface champion, so Lynch retaining the belt is hardly surprising. Her narrow victory did not damage Baszler's build, and we can probably expect a return match in the future.

The Virtue of Price Gouging



Massie on the Coronavirus Relief Bill Kerfuffle



Choose Life



Political Cartoon

Courtesy of Gary Varvel via Townhall


Musical Interlude: My Favorite Vocalists

Harry Nilsson, "Me and My Arrow"

Post #4542 J: More on Wrestlemania; Trump's Corporation Bashing

More on Wrestlemania

I've periodically written pro (WWE) wrestling segments in my journal posts. But readers might be curious why I've written several segments and tweets recently. First, for unfamiliar readers, scripted pro wrestling was sort of a stress releasing form of entertainment from my days as an undergraduate student; I recently mentioned how on a Christmas break one year I visited my maternal grandfather and found he was a huge Andre the Giant fan in the pre-WWE years, watching handicap matches on local New England programs. Years later, I discovered his little sister, my grandaunt Ida, was totally fascinated by muscle-bound Lex Luger and his trademark finisher "Torture Rack". I watched a lot of regional product, including Jose Lothario, a longtime NWA Texas Heavyweight champ (probably better known to WWE fans as an early Shawn Michaels manager), WCCW (with the Von Erichs and the Freebirds), and Mid-South (particularly tag teams Dibiase and Dr Death Steve Williams, Jake the Snake and (Nord) the Barbarian, and Sting and (in WWE) Ultimate Warrior). Of course, through the 80's and 90's, I followed WWF/WWE and WCW. I've sometimes followed other promotions, like TNA (until they ran into issues with cable programming) and Ring of Honor, but really haven't tracked the relatively new AEW, not covered in my cable package. So mostly this segment series follows WWE.

I've been fascinated by how WWE has tried to work around the COVID-19 crisis. Now to explain the context, WWE has prided itself in sports entertainment as having no off-season, of constantly turning out new original content for decades. Part of the spectacle is crowd engagement. So in the aftermath of spreading social distancing policies, WWE suddenly felt the loss of a key revenue source, event gate receipts--and wrestler promo efforts are aimed at generating audience pops or heat. (Sometimes WWE has injected a dash of humor, like when Stone Cold Steve Austin was a guest (on 3/16, of course), delivering his promo to one of the announcers, holding up signs rating his soundbites. Of course, Austin ends up making the announcer eat a Stone Cold stunner.) So they've been canning matches in their empty Orlando performance center (in fact, I think all of this weekend's Wrestlemania matches over 2 nights were prerecorded as well as the typically highly-anticipated post-Wrestlemania RAW episode). They've been splicing in classic match footage in recent TV episodes of Raw and Smackdown; maybe that's because of somewhat reduced talent availability during the crisis. To me, old matches are already available via WWE Network, their premium Internet channel where this year's Wrestlemania will be telecast. It's not that entertaining to watch a match where you already know the outcome; it's like going to a mystery movie and the moviegoer behind you gives away the ending.

So Florida has been behind the curve implementing stay-at-home COVID-19 responses, but now that it has, the question is whether WWE can continue to staff talent at their Orlando facility. Travel to and from Orlando is more difficult for the wrestlers. I don't know if there are accommodations from stay at home, e.g., if they can house workers in the facility, erect trailers or other temporary living arrangements on-site. I think there's been speculation about booking cruises not subject to state laws. WWE insists that talent are tested for health conditions and talent have not tested positive for coronavirus. We have seen in the past arrangements for canning multiple weekly episodes per week, e.g., when TNA was experiencing financial issues, and I think WWE for the last few weeks has made a similar accommodation.

There have been persistent rumors that WWE might go on hiatus post-Wrestlemania. It's also possible that they've been canning matches over the past few weeks anticipating an interruption and continue as they have, using classic matches as filler material. My understanding is that RAW and Smackdown canned episodes later are pulling in weaker ratings so it's not a sustainable strategy. They are simply treading water until we see progress in the coronavirus crisis and the economy resumes some measure of normalcy.

The big match drawing the most attention has been Roman Reigns' challenge to new Universal champion Goldberg, who recently defeated Bray Wyatt/The Fiend. I've commented on this before; one of the problems with booking Reigns' character is that WWE never has been able to book Reigns convincingly as a babyface/good guy. It wasn't clear a feud with a relatively popular Wyatt would achieve the expected babyface rub. A part-time, relatively old (53) talent like Goldberg might be viewed as an undeserving champion, no doubt a placeholder to job at Wrestlemania. The theory is that Reigns beating heel Goldberg might get a babyface rub (I'm a skeptic; for one thing, Goldberg is a popular icon) Personally, after the immensely popular Shield faction with Rollins and Ambrose broke up, I would have probably recast Reigns as a Lone Ranger persona, say, The Vigilante, out to administer justice his own way in the ring.) It really wasn't clear why Reigns, without a belt, deserved to challenge Goldberg for the title. They could have had Reigns at least say, "I beat Lesnar at Summerslam for the WWE title after Lesnar beat your ass." But WWE never had, say, then new Intercontinental champ Braun Strowman argue for his right to challenge Wyatt (at least I didn't hear it) for the more prestigious title. Their storyline options narrowed when they recently had Strowman job the title to Sami Zahn in a handicap match and instead of a typical return match, WWE booked Zahn into a match with Daniel Bryan.

The problem is that Reigns, as most fans know, had to take a hiatus over a second battle with leukemia. As such, he is especially vulnerable to a COVID-19 infection and withdrew from his Wrestlemania match. The question was, how would they book his absence and replacement? As I recently tweeted, I would probably have written Bryan into a triple threat qualifying watch (inverting Wrestlemania 30). Rumors floated around about strongman Braun Strowman getting the nod. Of course, Strowman by virtue of his very size is a credible challenger to Goldberg, but there was no storyline. HHH hinted at a storyline, and I quickly suggested they would book an injury angle on Reigns and have Strowman win a #1 contenders battle royal. A pro wrestling website tweeted a possible angle with Strowman taking out Reigns, which might be later exposed by this new hacker gimmick (revealing Mandy Rose's tag team partner had schemed with Ziggler in screwing over Otis, who has a crush on Mandy) to get the shot. Of course, WWE could have booked Goldberg himself into the angle to put more heat on heel Goldberg.

But the point is you need a storyline that motivates an attack on Reigns. Of course, you have preexisting feuds like "King Corbin" who would be jealous at Reigns getting the rub, but losing the #1 contenders' match. You need to have some rationale for Strowman motivated to take out Reigns. Of course, Reign could have said something like Strowman's had his championship shots and blown them, didn't deserve a shot at Goldberg's title; he, on the other hand, has held the WWE championship. (They could "expose" this after the fact, of course. One thing is for sure: this would be a feud to book on Reigns' return after the COVID-19 absence.) Of course, given Strowman's past link as a member of the Wyatt family, it would be interesting to see Wyatt try to get into his former protege's head. And if Goldberg was behind the Reigns' injury, for Reigns, Goldberg's "next".

I haven't read others predicting match outcomes, but one rumor is Daniel Bryan will ease into a part-time role like Lesnar, Undertaker, Cena, and HHH. If true, Zahn should be booked into his first successful title defense. Clearly Goldberg will job. I expect Owens to get his Wrestlemania moment over Rollins. I think Lynch will be booked to lose her title (it would be interesting to see if Rousey is written into a revenge angle).

Trump, 3M and the COVID-19 Crisis

There are some things about Trump that pisses me off with white-hot rage; I thought about saving this for one of my rant format posts (I don't rule out a future related post). I really don't like Trump's bashing people or companies in general, including his wars with the media. But I really resent his populist attacks on Ford (e.g., here), Carrier (e.g., here), Apple (for government hacking into personal phones), and others too many to mention. He's bashed companies he thinks are offshoring manufacturing, etc.

His current obsession is demanding corporate capitulation to open or upsize medical resource production in the COVID-19 crisis, using the Korea War-era Defense Production Act. For example, he's been bashing car companies to produce ventilators. 3M is coming under attack for not supplying more N-95 masks.

At first, I thought it was leftists attacking 3M, but add Trumpkins to the mix echoing Trump's bashing. Among other things, 3M is being "asked" to redirect masks made at its foreign facilities and being sold in those markets back to the US. There's even talk of an export ban on medical items.

Trade wars are batshit crazy in this crisis; Trump hasn't learned a damn thing. This idea that the US should steal protective gear saving lives in other countries also facing the COVID-19 crisis is beyond grossly immoral and counterproductive. Trump's moves will likely be matched by trading partners.

What Trump has failed to do in this crisis is to open up the government monopoly, e.g., COVID-19 diagnostic test, and relax the regulatory burden for expanding production during the crisis. He needs to focus on how government has or is fucking up and let the free market do what it does well without government intervention.

Passing My Time Over the Crisis

I never watched Ken Burns' series on American Lives. A lot of these are well-done; the first 2 episodes are on the women's suffrage movement and Thomas Jefferson. Still a lot of presentist bashing--e.g., an obsession with Jefferson's hypocritical ownership of slaves, his politically incorrect views on blacks, etc., but well-done. A lot of stuff on Amazon Prime, including romantic comedies. Sometimes I'll check out old series like Dennis the Menace or I Dream of Jeannie on cable.

Friday, April 3, 2020

Post #4541 M: Hornberger on Healthcare; Reason and Ridley on COVID-19

Quote of the Day

It's better to light a candle than to curse the darkness.
Chinese proverb  

Hornberger on Healthcare



Reason and Ridley on COVID-19



Quarantines and the Constitution



Choose Life



Political Cartoon

Courtesy of Al Goodwyn via Townhall


Musical Interlude: My Favorite Vocalists

Harry Nilsson, "I Guess the Lord Must Be in New York City"

Thursday, April 2, 2020

Post #4540 M: Woods on the "You Want Your Grandmother Dead" COVID-19 Warriors; McClanahan on FDR's Inaugural Address

Quote of the Day

Never be in a hurry; 
do everything quietly and in a calm spirit. 
Do not lose your inner peace for anything whatsoever, 
even if your whole world seems upset.
Saint Francis de Sales 

McClanahan on FDR's Inaugural Address



Woods on the "You Want Your Grandmother Dead" COVID-19 Warriors



Choose Life



Political Cartoon



Musical Interlude: My Favorite Vocalists

Harry Nilsson, "Everybody's Talkin'". I remember OLL required me to watch "Midnight Cowboy" (never been tempted to watch it again). The highlight was this #6 Nilsson tune.


Post #4539 J: Am I a #COVIDIDIOT?

No, I'm NOT a #COVIDIDOT

At first I wasn't sure how I would address this topic in my specialty formats: journal, rant or commentary. I decided on the former.

I don't go about in life worried about what other people think of me; I have a lot of confidence in what I say and do, even if they are unpopular. For example, my last vote for President was for a candidate who only got about 3% of the national vote. And even in that community, I hold some unpopular views, like my pro-life position. I maintained high standards in teaching, unpopular with students, colleagues, and administrators (oh, people will pay lip service to the concept, just not its implementation). I've dealt with adversity (and paid a political price) throughout my work history, e.g., escalating tech issues with Oracle Support, telling supervisors things they didn't want to hear, pushing standards unpopular with users or colleagues, etc.

I wouldn't say I'm indifferent to how I'm perceived by others. I've enjoyed academic awards throughout my scholastic career, including high school valedictorian, innumerable Dean's Lists, honors societies, scholarships, a university-wide competitive fellowship, a dissertation grant, selection to 2 competitive doctoral consortia in my field (I even had my own dissertation topic singled out by the keynote speaker at one of them). I've presented papers at national conferences and symposiums and published peer-reviewed articles. I won an internal company award on my last project as a senior principal consultant with Oracle Consulting. I won an unprecedented 3 CEO awards during my 13 months with a computer chip testing company based in Santa Clara.

But the point is that I didn't do what I've done for external validation. To give an example, I was friends with KO, the younger sister of PO, during my freshman year in high school. She would later write one of her proudest academic accomplishments was getting the second-highest grade to mine on math tests. She compared me to her big brother, who was the reigning UIL science contest champ, and encouraged me to join the team. (I did join my last 2 years of high school and won district.) PO, who I probably met in passing once or twice, was a prodigy, good enough to win admission to MIT out of his junior year. I think he ran into financial issues and never finished his degree but got into some MIT startup and reportedly cashed out as a millionaire by the time I earned my PhD. The point of the story was that fairly early in life he had set his goal as winning a Nobel Prize, which I don't think he's accomplished to date. Perhaps that was an unrealistic expectation. Did that make him a failure in life? No. And there's nothing wrong with having some high goal to aspire to.

To give another example, one of the faculty members on my dissertation committee was JR, a junior MIS professor at UH. He and his mentor, Milt Jenkins of Indiana University, had designed a computer user satisfaction measure, related to my methodological interest. JR had tried to hit a home run for tenure research considerations by getting a prestigious Management Science journal hit, which didn't work out. He must have seen the writing on the wall and resigned some point after I graduated. I don't know the specifics despite a few letter exchanges, but he ended up at IBM as a research fellow and retired a short while back. To a certain extent, his experience influenced my strategy when I started as a professor; I targeted credible journals like the International Journal of Man-Machine Studies and one of the IEEE journals, for example. When I interviewed after my 3 years at UWM, no one questioned my research bona fides.

I know, especially given my prolific presence on Twitter these past few years, that my contrarian views will draw some hostile reactions, especially when I poke sticks at progressives or Trumpkins who go over the top. Now I'm not like Trump playing Whac-a-Mole with his critics; of course, he is drawing nuclear heat on Twitter. It seems everyday hundreds, if not thousands of Twitter users pay tribute to the memory of  former President Obama. Both progressives and Trumpkins beat my pinata. They term me a Trumpkin or (social/modern) liberal respectively. Neither is correct, but I seriously doubt most have read my profile or thousands of other tweets. There's part of me that wants to set the record straight, but I really have no control over what other people do or say. And a lot of people, even when they are confronted with the truth, won't concede they were wrong. I'm not willing to let those people have power over me by their consent. Sometimes you just have to let it go, and trust other people will be fair-minded and look at both sides.

I only see a fraction of purported replies/mentions of me of Twitter. I'm not sure of who they are or why Twitter filters the ones they do; it could be in the process the trolls block me. I do occasionally see replies. My analytics home page will mention a current top mention: the current one supposedly got 1192 or so impressions, along with 34 engagements (likes and/or retweets). When I try to view the tweet for context, I get a "tweet unavailable" message, so I don't know the original. The reason I am addressing it is because that's a fairly big response for a reply; I informally consider a 1000-impression tweet a viral tweet (I've only a handful over the past month), and for me, 20-odd engagements is the exception not the rule. The troll then rubs salt in the wound by attaching a photo to Trump to his tweet, implying I'm a Trumpkin, and I'm an unambiguous NeverTrumper


elnachodugan@keith82384620  Mar 24 So only 3,936,000 die. A lot of people might get really mad at a such as yourself.

I was aware of a #COVIDIDIOTS hashtag, but never really clicked on the trend. COVID-19 response has now become a politically correct subject, like climate change. If you aren't in sync with the self-anointed "stay-at-home" police enforcers or question authoritarian impulses in this crisis, they will attack you publicly.

I'm not sure what the troll is responding to, because I've not been discussing coronavirus infection models in my tweets. In fact, I've mostly reported CDC's own statistics. It could be that he's responding to a rolling fatality rate I've reported, in the range of 1.2-1.4% and applying it to some extrapolated, unspecified, absurd case projection vs. earlier inflated coronavirus casualty rates.

Look, I'll point out Fauci himself has suggested the fatality rate may end up considerably under 1%:

In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. 

I myself have never suggested that isn't a serious issue, and I have pointed out some worrisome contrasts to the seasonal flu (include airborne transmission) and a fatality rate (to date) multiples to the flu--and, unlike the flu, there isn't a vaccine. I haven't argued against mitigation strategies, just the nature and extent.  I was harshly critical of Trump's targeting only foreign (vs. domestic) travelers from China on 1/31 and dismissive comparisons to the flu, the fact that CDC and the FDA has been fatally slow in responding to a need for diagnostic testing and engaging the private sector.

I have also been a critic of anti-vaxxers, particularly in response to the immunity herd construct, as a violation of the non-aggression principle. I have also pointed out that the social conservative base of the GOP, e.g., on evolution and climate change, really doesn't help establish moral leadership during the process.

Panic makes for bad pubic policy, and I oppose it, no apologies.

As to the personal attack, I am hardly a scientific illiterate. As I discussed above, I represented my Texas high school UIL team in math and science, and I aced my high school and college courses in science (in fact, my biology teacher held me after class one day and told me I didn't have to go to class anymore, that I had my A; he said if he taught to my level, he would lose the rest of the class, and his lectures otherwise would be a waste of my time). I subscribe to various science daily news emails, and I don't know many other non-medical people who have quoted the NEJM and/or have published empirical research articles requiring extensive knowledge of research design and statistics. I probably know more about COVID-19 than over 90% of the people tweeting on it.

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Post #4538 M: Hornberger on Public Policy and the COVID-19 Crisis; Woods and Casey on COVID-19 Fallout

Quote of the Day

Make the best use of what is in your power, and take the rest as it happens.
Epictetus  

Hornberger on Public Policy and the COVID-19 Crisis



Woods and Casey on COVID-19 Fallout



DEAD WRONG: China's One-Child Policy Was Needed to Drop the Birthrate



Choose Life



Political Cartoon


Courtesy of Robert Ariail via Townhall


Musical Interlude: My Favorite Vocalists

Nat King Cole, "Those Lazy, Hazy, Crazy Days of Summer". This concludes my Nat King Cole retrospective. Next up: Harry Nilsson.

Post #4537 J: How COVID-19 Is Changing Everyday Life for Friends;Wrestlemania

The COVID-19 Crisis and Everyday Life

I've discussed some of my Navy friends in a recent essay; one of them, a Navy buddy/fellow NPS instructor (BG), reached out to me on Facebook recently. I was mildly surprised, because we really hadn't been in touch since Joe and Lynn's wedding and my surname is difficult to write/remember. As I mentioned earlier, being in NPS was a limited-term gig, a 4-year appointment. I had been sucked up into organizational politics and was offered an honorable discharge several months into my service. My fellow math instructors and I made for a colorful group of characters I once toyed with converting into a sitcom. There were 2 unmarried couples in the group. JO was a big guy, often with a toothpick in his mouth, and his blond girlfriend I'll call Lorraine often mirrored his behavior in an amusing way, e.g, he might say, "Of course!", and she would echo it a split second later. Sally, BG's girlfriend, was a pretty blond young woman with glasses; I recall she was the first person I ever met who said I have bedroom eyes, which I took as a compliment. Sally and BG were annoyingly openly affectionate in front of the rest of us not in a relationship, especially my best friend Joe; I know I was jealous. Like I wrote earlier, most of the male instructors were single, and there weren't options to meet, say Navy nurses working on base.

There were comic aspects to working at NPS in the enlisted program. Being a math instructor wasn't a glamorous job, heavily scripted and designed to such an extent that a calculus concept we taught in one class might be used in a physics class later that day; if I called in sick, another instructor could easily substitute, covering the same material. (Thank God my 8 years of teaching MIS were not like that.) One comic incident I vividly remember was a time when I was auditing a fellow instructor's class, observing lecture technique, etc. I was seated at the back right corner, and as further context, my colleague had a hearing problem. So there was a square of 4 guys to my left, and they were whooping it up with Curly (Three Stooges) type sounds and literally bouncing their chair/desks around in rotation. My supervisor, WG, a no-nonsense type, must have spotted them passing by the room, came in and put an end to it.

 A lot of us were looking at what would happen after our terms were up; could we transition into the regular Navy in a different role? I remember WG was obsessed with solar energy. I had a huge bundle of engineering study manuals I finally threw away during a recent move. I know my middle brother, a chemical engineer, and my 2 engineer nephews never understood why, with my math aptitude, I hadn't explored a more lucrative career option as an engineer. And the short answer is, I probably would have if I had stayed in the Navy longer. I stumbled into an IT career (initially as a programmer/analyst), when I sent in a job inquiry on a whim with my car insurance payment. I really hadn't collected enough education benefits to go back to college.

As I mentioned in the earlier essay, I had mostly lost touch with the rest of the gang after Joe and Lynn's wedding. I had kept in touch, mostly through Lynn, in annual holiday card exchanges. I think they moved to Maine, probably working in some capacity with a local shipyard, although I didn't know specifics; the last time I heard from them was years later. I know they had 2 daughters. One year Lynn's return address didn't reference Joe; I suspected separation or divorce. I don't think Lynn ever responded to my follow-up, but it's possible that I moved and the USPS didn't forward subsequent letters; I had misplaced the envelopes with the mailing address during my moves. BG recently confirmed their divorce but didn't provide information beyond that, other than sadness it had happened to 2 good friends.

It still surprises me when I encounter former colleagues who have already retired. (I had been fairly young for someone with a Master's, having just turned 22 two days before starting in the Navy, unemployed for 7 months after graduation.) I remember a few years back I had contacted JC to mention a post I had written in my SoftDoc blog. I had met JC, then a professor at an Arizona State who had been coordinating a series of human factors in MIS symposia, during the last few years of my academic career. At that point in time, human factors was a tiny niche in MIS, but one I had been drawn to since developing my own research program at UH. We liked each other and perhaps might have dated each other (that may be presumptuous on my part), but long distance relationships don't work. She was editor for 3 books for which I wrote chapters. In fact, I had coined SoftDoc as my business concept, somewhat inspired by 'Microsoft', as an unemployed academic after my temporary contract with ISU ended, and I think I used the affiliation with my last chapter. It's odd how you can recall little odd things. I loved my Mom's rhubarb pie (which she hasn't done since my high school days); JC, other presenters and I were at this restaurant during a symposium, and when it came to dessert, I spotted strawberry rhubarb pie on the menu and ordered that; JC immediately ordered the same. I probably was reading too much into that, but at the time I thought it was so cool. So anyway, in small talk in reference to my blog post, she mentioned that she had retired from Arizona State and was now living in Montana, Wyoming, or some other northern state, and I remember thinking how odd; many people choose to retire in Phoenix or some southern state to get away from the winter weather.

So when BG mentioned that he had retired in the Tampa Bay area, I was surprised but not shocked. Apparently he had reinvented himself as an actuary after leaving the Navy, and that's how he met his wife. I had embarrassed him in asking him about Sally; in fact, I don't think his marital status was listed on his Facebook page on the time. I had seen pictures of his wife, who seemed to have darker hair than Sally's blond, but I have a couple of ash blond siblings whose hair turned darker as adults.

I had recently texted BG on whether he had contact information on Joe or Lynn. I never got a response (still haven't), so I don't know if BG lost contact with them, didn't want to betray confidences or maybe I had pissed off one or both of them. I was disappointed I didn't at least get an acknowledgment to the message. But part of the reason may have been that Bill and his wife were probably on a cruise at the time I messaged. Maybe he mentioned an upcoming cruise on Facebook and I hadn't seen the post.

So he recently returned from his (interrupted) South American cruise, quipping he needed to check on his stocks (after the recent stock market crash over over 30%).

He recently posted something to the effect he had been unable to get a bag of something (let's say salt for purposes of discussion) for his home property  delivered by Home Depot or other vendors. So I asked a naive question: can't you just drive up to Home Depot and do a curb pickup or whatever? Maryland is now under a stay-at-home rule, but at the time I wasn't aware of any restrictions of going to Home Depot (in MD it's considered an "essential business"--I guess if you have a busted pipe, water heater, roof, etc) I didn't think Florida, at the time, was under lockdown.

BG obscurely referenced local policies, later mentioning he and his spouse made a decision to self-quarantine after the cruise, not because of known outbreaks but given their public exposure during the cruise. I later responded something to the effect, "Dude! You're an actuary! You have to know that your exposure (at least at the time) was highly unlikely..." No response. He later mentioned that he finally got his salt or whatever and thanked other locals who volunteered to bring some over in the interim.

Wrestlemania and COVID-19

Well, I'm sure WWE is in historic bad times, although I'm sure its premium channel is doing well during these stay-at-home days. A major portion of its revenue is live events, and that revenue has completely dropped off the cliff. The signature Wrestlemania event this weekend is still on, but at their no-audience performance facility in Orlando, this time over 2 nights (and at least some matches for the event seemed to have been already canned).

Probably the biggest development has been in the Universal Title match. WWE had the champion Bray Wyatt job the title to wrestling icon Goldberg, a part-time talent. The storyline never made sense: what had Goldberg done to deserve a shot at the belt? Whatever happened to Wyatt's right to a rematch to regain the title? Obviously WWE didn't think a rematch would be as big a draw. It's fairly clear that Goldberg would drop the title but to who? The answer was immediate: Roman Reigns. I'm not a fan of his signature moves: the Superman punch and spear. It seemed like WWE had been saving a Reigns vs Wyatt confrontation for Wrestlemania. Why didn't it happen? It seems like WWE has had tepid responses in the past trying to establish Reigns as a babyface/good guy, and having Reigns beat a fairly popular but bizarre schizophrenic Wyatt/Fiend character wouldn't achieve the expected fan reaction. WWE management knew that Goldberg would draw heat for undeservedly beating Wyatt and serve as a heel for a Reigns match. (They could then serve up the saved Reigns/Wyatt match for Summerslam (my speculation).) No doubt WWE is hoping Goldberg's iconic reputation helps build an audience for Wrestlemania.

What happened to the match? Well, the context is, as most fans know, Roman Reigns experienced a recent (second?) bout with leukemia, and he no doubt has a compromised immune system, which puts his health especially at risk during the current COVID-19 crisis. I don't think any WWE wrestler has tested positive for coronavirus, but apparently the Miz, one of the Smackdown tag team champs, showed up ill for a match against his cousins, the Uso's. I'm not sure if Reigns was at that taping and/or with the Uso's after the match, but given concerns about COVID-19 propagation, the possible risk of contamination of the ring by a performer not showing symptoms probably exacerbated personal health anxiety by Reigns, leading to his withdrawal. In the meanwhile, WWE Creative has booked Wyatt into a Wrestlemania revenge match against Cena, once the WWE workhorse babyface but now a sparingly used talent near retirement, like HHH, who no doubt will job to Wyatt.

So who will now face Goldberg? We should know during Friday's Smackdown, but rumor has it strongman Braun Strowman will replace Reigns. Of course, there's no storyline to explain Strowman's selection, given the fact he just jobbed the Intercontinental championship to Zahn. Maybe they'll book a #1 contender's rumble match Friday.

Personally I would have booked it differently. WWE originally booked Daniel Bryan into a Wrestlemania 30-like adversity build for gaining Zahn's newly won Intercontinental championship by requiring an allied wrestler qualify him for a match. I might have inverted Wrestlemania 30 by having Bryan win a triple threat against, say, Zahn and Strowman to qualify for a title shot against Goldberg later in Wrestlemania.

Rumor has it that Miz' illness has sidelined the expected tag team championship event. I don't see anything compelling about Wrestlemania that sparks my interest. I don't see how having Lesnar job to McIntyre or Goldberg to Strowman helps the product because neither of the prospective new champs is a draw. In part, that explains why they've taken two belts off Strowman so quickly. The only reason I might see it happening is to book, say, big Summerslam matches.

As I wrote in a recent tweet, I'm expecting NXT to run a Nexus type angle to take Rollins out after his recent promo. Maybe the Kevin Owens match will be an opportunity to push this.

I also responded to a Twitter hashtag identifying my 3 favorite wrestlers as Kurt Angle, Ultimate Warrior and Andre the Giant. The last one is a more sentimental choice. I didn't realize my maternal grandfather was a wrestling fan until I visited him while my folks were stationed in Germany during my college years and I went to visit him. This was before Andre's WWE run; he was squashing opponents in handicap matches as a babyface; my grandfather was blown away by his size. With Warrior, it was less about his wrestling moves and more about a distinct, compelling persona.

Minor COVID-19 Stay-at-Home Notes

During my minor hospital stay in November, I got prescribed a cholesterol med (I had earlier tests by my doctor which showed my readings on the higher end of normal, not enough to require meds) and they also boosted my thyroid deficiency. So you probably know how doctors want more blood work done after a period of time to evaluate the efficacy of the meds: e.g., do we need to increase dosages, etc.?

So a few weeks back I got a note from my physician's clinic simply saying I needed to pay them a visit. And about a month back I needed to have a series of tests done, this time having to go to one of the testing labs for a specialist, not coordinated with my physician, who probably wanted to check on my thyroid and cholesterol. I did ask the lab about at least the thyroid check, but the lab refused without an order from my doctor.

Long story short, I ran out of the cholesterol med with a "no refill" status from both Walmart and the mail order unit associated with my health insurance. I had called my clinic to report results from the specialist (she canceled my scheduled in-person to review blood results under COVID-19 restricted routine visit policies); the nurse had told me about the need to check cholesterol and thyroid, but didn't want me to visit for routine stuff.

So Walmart contacted me about needing to check with my doctor about my refill request (the clinic has instructions to have the pharmacy fax them). When several hours into the next business day no follow-up from Walmart, I called the clinic and talked to the nurse. Apparently during this interim period, they will extend prescriptions until hopefully the situation mitigates over the next 2-3 months.

I later get a call from Walmart that my insurance company had blocked a 90-day refill, saying that anything over 30 days had to go through mail order; I could get a temporary, say 30-day, supply from Walmart (maybe a  10-minute drive away). I must have spent a half hour on the phone talking to the mail order people; apparently they couldn't handle say 30 days from Walmart and 60 days mail order because the 60-day residual would be booked as a concurrent, unauthorized transaction.

I realize most people have far worse problems, but I had to take several proactive steps to get a routine prescription refilled. I also had to worry when I called the clinic, because I didn't know if Walmart had processed the prescription request and whether I would be wrongly duplicating the same request. Walmart hadn't sent a refill notification for the expiring prescription and the last time I went to the mail order vendor, all prescriptions showed no refills available. Not to mention the clinic had not warned me they would not prescribe refills without blood work. (I did get a note I needed to pay them a visit, but that was it. )

While I was at Walmart, I did a routine check on staples. I don't need eggs or toilet paper, but I checked,  mostly out of curiosity. This time, for the first time I've checked, their eggs were completely sold out. Again, the entire paper products (toilet paper, etc) aisle was completely wiped out except for a few rolls of paper towels. This time I did see small posted notices to limit paper good purchases to 1 item. I saw a mostly depleted beef section in meats, several cold cuts also wiped out. Lots of employees restocking shelves.