A minimalist approach to essential, transparent, accountable, flat, adaptable, responsive, solution-based government, rooted in virtuous individual autonomy, traditional values and free markets, with a bias towards reduction of government functionality, cost and scope
Familiar readers of my daily blog posts know that I generally have embedded SOHO Forum debates over the last few years Gene Epstein, an Austrian School economist, has been the long-term moderator.
I will leave it to the interested reader to listen to the debate clipped below. The reader doesn't have to listen long to get the anti-vaxxer twist in Epstein's opening argument. Basically Epstein is defending "real" capitalism his opponent (Joe Nocera) claims failed during the pandemic. In short, Epstein is arguing the example of COVID vaccine makers is one of "crony capitalism", an unholy alliance between government, which can mandate, and politically connected businesses which cannot impose conditions on its competitors. I'm generally with Epstein on the general topic, but I don't buy this opening argument
Some context for the unknowing reader: I am not an epidemiologist or a scientist, although I did very well in high school and college science and represented my Texas high school in science. I have done and published behavioral research in information systems. In the blog I have often followed related topics like the Fukushima plant accident and the pandemic. Nearly every week over most of the pandemic I've included a weekly update, gemerally in "journal posts" on Saturday. Spoiler: I'm a pro-vaxxer. Incidentally, that is a very libertarian position, one I share with Walter Block; spreading your disease like Typhoid Mary. is a violation of the NAP.
To be blunt, trained economist Epstein is incompetent and ill-informed on the disease much like his podcaster historian buddy Tom Woods
First, Epstein argues the governmrnt took a lot of money from mRNA vaccine vendor Moderna, arguing pay to play and government employees had a corrupt vested interest to push vaccine mandates, Several things to point out here. First, Moderna used USG IP; government employeee routinely sign over their royalties to the government. They signed an agreement before Moderna even knew the virus' sequence. The government has non-exclusive agreements on its licensed IP. Moreover.the FDA has approved multiple vaccines (including the former J&J vaccine):
Not to mention that Pfizer complained that the government was paying a mere fraction of what they normally charged for vaccines. Another salient point Epstein failed to consider is except for federal employyes, the Feds don't control vaccine mandates; the states/local government enforce health security. And there is no evidence approved a vaccine contrary to prespecified criteria and safety data requirements
Second, Epstein mocks the effectiveness of the vaccines ,arguing they did little to control retransmission of disease, which he argues should have been criteria, that the benefits are temporary . This is just so misleading, absurd and incompetent it tests my patience to respond to it. First of all, not all vaccines are sterilizing. In part, not all viruses are stable. Some mutate rapidly, like COVID-19. It's not like the current vaccines, for instance, covers recently dominant JN.1 variant. Second, recall the reality of the first year without a vaccine. It became one of the leading causes of death almost overnight. Hospitals were filled to overcapacity. Much of the economy was shut down. The vaccines were designed to minimize risk of hospitalization and death The proof is in the pudding. While people are still getting sick and dying, rates are trending lower and are more manageable; patients of other diseases are getting diagnosed and treated.
There are no good data I've seen on transmission and breakthrough infections (a lot of vaccinated people haven't had a recent booster) but it stands to reason that existing antibody support would weaken transmission and infections. Of course individual differences like age and health condition have an effect
Finally, Epstein makes an old libertarian talking point about government liability protection for vaccine makers. As usual, Epstein is ill-informed.. Let me quote a relevant excerpt:
Liability for injury resulting from vaccination is a matter of state law.... No vaccine-related product liability litigation resulting in a publicly available opinion has occurred in most jurisdictions. A manufacturer who produces and sells a defective vaccine that creates a risk of significant injury to the recipient is liable to any person injured by that defect under the principles stated in section 402A of the Restatement of Torts 2d. This is thought to be the law in every American jurisdiction. A manufacturer is not liable for harm caused by a nondefective product due to its inherent or unavoidable dangerousness. Thus, if a properly manufactured vaccine will cause harmful side effects in some portion of the recipient population, the manufacturer of the vaccine is not liable for those side effects. This principle is the subject of comment k to section 402A.
When i heard the Angry Orange RINO Criminal whining about the separation of his minions from the courthouse, it immidediately ttriggered in me the thought he was fantasizing a J6-style invasion of the courthouse by his mob, disrupting the administration of justice.
All Presudents elected during my lifetime have sucked. Ask me if I give a damn about some overrated typically leftisr Hollywood celebrity thinks about politics. Biden's corruption is like supersizing Obama's Solyndra-style of crony capitalism. Trump has his own issues. https://t.co/p11nOtCWZU
Trump engages in boring self-serving rhetoric. He thinks he's above the law and engages in victimization rubbish. He actually bragged about his extramarital affairs in one of his books and has political motives for denying the reality of his relationship with a porn star. https://t.co/EGrZ4SI0jT
Listening to Dumbass Trump try to deflect any responsibility for inflation when he was responsible with Dems for enacting massive unpaid spending during the pandemic when supply chains were crushed. Whereas Biden's spendaholic ways exacerbated things along wirh Slowdraw Powell...
Trump routinely lies about everyone opposing him, including Republicans. I remember during the 2016 GOP primary debate, Trump said he had bought and paid for "corrupt" Rand Paul. In reality, Paul had solicited donations for his Central American eye surgery charity. https://t.co/XNFRb1Q1kx
No, Trump didn't. and I'm a Never Trumper. He was spitballing whether things that worked on the virus like on surfaces could work inside the human body. It was stupid speculation, of course. but far from suggesting injecting stuff into the body. https://t.co/2V8NXxUB57
As a libertarian, I have mixed feelings on the the 3-part foreign aid bill. I generally oppose foreign aid. which basically amounts to international meddling at taxpayer expense, particularly in the case of developed countries like Israel & Taiwan. Victims of Russian wars differ.
I'm rather amused that Justice KBJ repeated a point I've specifically made several times over Trump's ludicrous, self-serving absolute immunity rubbish: why did Ford pardon Nixon?
Easy. Unlike Biden, Carter named to the Fed Volcker who engaged in shock therapy in breaking the back of inflation and Carter helped deregulate trucking and airlines. Biden brought back inflation and supersized the general government.
I really don't think either party wins the dog lovers vote. You have Biden's dog who wants to eat the Secret Service and the Noem/Romney wing of the GOP.
Trump as usual is trying to have his cake and eatit, too. Trump as POTUS wanted to ban TikToK as a national security threat. Now that Biden has managed to do what Trump couldn't, sign a de facto ban into law, Trump opposes it. Just like infrastructure.
Jan. 6 was unfortunate, a poor lapse of security planning, a glorified riot where the only gunfire was from a killer cop. Dan Rather is a histrionic court historian, a contemptible mainstream media ideological hack whose lack of a moral compass justifiably ended his career. https://t.co/8uDMBbhK2I
Jill Stein is a lying political whore. This is not about "protecting free speech"; violating university policies and intimidating others who have their own rights of free expression are abuses of natural rights.https://t.co/jmiBQlwaNmhttps://t.co/LhSQRNaDuC
The indisputable facts are both Trump and Biden have been failed Presidents. Trump led the spendaholic pandemic budget splurge that led to reigniting inflation (Econ 101 tells you about policy lags.) Biden's corrupt Big Green agenda, Solyndra on steroids, has worsened it CNN poll https://t.co/3moiyEf8HO
Heaven knows Trumpkins have lately sorely tested my patience. (Incidentally, I didn't coin the term 'Trumpkin' for Trump's cultish minions; I don't know how popular the term was a few years back when I picked it up, but I borrowed it from CATO Institute executive/immigration scholar Alex Nowrasteh.) Initially it was Congresswoman MTG who decided to target Speaker Johnson over his tactics on the floor which she thinks have been exploited to the benefit of the Dems. Trumpkins have become increasingly hostile to extending Ukraine aid, with or without a border deal. The last thing we need is yet a third round of Speaker succession selection given a razor-thin, shrinking GOP House majority.
But familiar readers pf my blog and/or Twitter feed may be aware of my"connection" with Congresswoman Nancy Mace {R, SC-1). In 2015-6 I had moved to North Charleston, SC to work on an expiring government contract. Tim Scott, the 2013 Congressman was appointed by Gov. Haley to serve out retiring Sen. DeMint's term. I think the seat had been conservative Dem until the Reagan Revolution during which you saw a realignment when you saw a general poliyical realignment where white Democrats trended Republican and blacks realigned themselves with leftist Dems. Former Gov. Sanford, a pro-liberty politician, succeeded Scott in SC-1 and was my Congressman during my residence there. [Note that I had relocated to AZ the summer of 2016
Trump had disdain for the few principled pro-liberty fellow GOP conservatives and explicitlt targeted Amash, Sanford, and Massie to primart, succeeding in the former 2 cases. The Trumpkin who defeated Sanford (Arrington) lost in the 2018 general election to the Dem. Cunningham, for the first time flip in nearly 4 decades. Nancy Mace, a former state representative and a first Citadel Corp female graduate, successfully challenged Cunningham in the next election.
Nancy is sort of pro-liberty, having supported Ron Paul in 2012, but somehow transitioned to Trump in 2016. (This is something I've criticized in other libertarians reading something in Trump, a statist who claims absolute authority, who threatens trade and all but disregards international agreements; I think they read too much into his America First rhetoric) Another relevant point for the current essay is that Mace claims to have been raped at 16, and in fact as a state legislator she pushed for related exceptions in SC's abortion law.
Nancy criticized Trump's J6 behavior, enough to draw a Trumpkin challenger in 2022. But she has reinvented herself this past session, enough to draw me into publicly criticize her on Twitter/X, notably for her pushing the rubbish Trump claim that former lead Ukraine key prosecutor Shokin was a victim of Biden who had allegedly been bribed to prevent investigation of Burisma which had recruited Hunter Biden onto its board. There have been rumors that Nancy has been auditioning for the Veep slot on the ticket.
Where do I come into play? Only on a minor point: her staff had somehow procured my cellphone number, and the Android spam filter didn't catch it. It was a solicitation for campaign volunteer work, and I thought a tactful response was I'm a libertarian, and you don't want me. The staffer then did his/her best to cast her as my sleeper dream candidate. At this point, I soon discovered the text was not from MD but SC; I left SC in 2016
So the key kerfuffle motivating this essay involves a March 10 exchange between ABC New This Week moderator George Stephanopoulos and Nancy Mace where Mace took offense at rhe moderator allegedly trying to shame her as a rape victim for criticizing E. Jean Carroll, who noably won a lawsuit against Trump for sexual misconduct. [The joke involved what Ms. Carroll would do with her $83M judgment from Trump during an MSNBC primetime interview.]
First of all,I loathe right-wingers (including Trump and Mace) playing the victim card. Second, Carroll was not "joking" about Trump's misconduct; she was trying to provoke Trump by getting under his skin. I can't speak for the victims of sexual nisconduct, but I can understand where a victim of Trump wants to hit back where it hurts him most--his reputation of wealth and power. I also think it's highly hypocritical for Mace herself to put herself in judgment of Carroll the same way she stands in judgment of Stephanopoulos. I think Trump's own self-admission of imappropriate activity around women makes Trump's character a legitimate issue. Why does Mace's experience give her a wildcard excuse to avoid the issue? Doesn't she have a moral responsibility to speak out in solidarity with fellow victims? Finally, Mace's distinction between a criminal vs. civil verdict is frivolous and inconsistent. I don't think Mace's alleged rapist got convicted in a criminal or civil court. In fact, Trump was found guilty of penetrating Ms. Carroll's vagina; there's only a difference of which body part Trump used to penetrate. Mace's dissing a civil conviction in favor of the world's most powerful man abusing his authority to violate his victim a different way is unconscionable and inexcusable
I don't recall Stephanopoulos challenging Mace's rape victim claims or trying to embarrass her with a legitimate question for any Republican female politician If anything, Mace was using political correctness to intimidate Stephanopoulos from doing his job.
I used to sample Woods' content years back in the blog. I originally followed because of some earlier books he wrote on the Catholic Church and Western civilization, the free market and on American history. I've had 2 unpleasant exchanges with him. The first was on Facebook. The context is Woods idolizes Ron Paul and was involved in Paul's 2 failed GOP POTUS runs. So one day Woods posted a birthday wish for Paul and unnecessarily took a cheap shot at Mitt Romney, saying in effect Paul is not a phony like Romney. Me, I have my own issues with Romney, but I try to keep my differences objective. So I posted a related criticism, and Woods pounced on it, calling me a Romney interloper and encouraging his minions to attack me. I broke off his feed for some time. Eventually, I moved on and started sampling his content again in the blog. During the COVID pandemic, he became obsessed with public policy restrictions, one motive for my clipping this "debate" event. Keep in mind Woods is not a credentialed emprical researcher; his schtich is graphs and charts compiled from third parties and namedropping befriended elite university skeptics. And I was on his referenced email list, and his podcasts and emails soon reflected his obsession. Me, I have served as a peer reviewer for academic journals and national conferences and have published my own empirical research. I have a special interest in methodology, including the apples and oranges of interstate statistics that Woods liberally cites here.
So I eventually tired of Woods' rants and wrote back to one of his emails, I seem to recall it had something to do with COVID and its questioned relevance to kids. I cautioned him to tone it down. I was actually surprised that he replied to my response. He pushed back with a paraphrased response of the type "Who the f*ck are you--a credentialed epidemiologist from Yale?" He pushed my buttons enough to the point I challenged him to a debate, which he laughed off, claiming "I don't debate nimwits." I once again warned him he was risking my following his content, and he responded by dropping me from his email list. I already get 500 or more emails daily, so I really don't miss it.
As you probably know, Woods' opponent had a family emergency and couldn't make the debate. Why present this clip? First, I've been covering SOHO events for some time in the blog, and unlike Woods' podcast, it's not a one-sided rant. Second, while I'm a COVID realist and pro-vaxxer, I do think it's legitimate to review effectiveness of public policy during the pandemic
The winter surge continues to taper down, and once dominant JN.1 is finally beginning to lose market share (including the FLiRT mutations). I still caution for those of us in a risk category to be cautious, be aware of you local/county health profile (i.e., hotspots), and to get additional protection, like an extra booster shot, when possible. I have to admit I start looking at any change in symptoms with alarrm and suspicion. For example, late lasr weekend I developed probably in hindsight a nasty stomach flu. I was constantly vomiting for over 24 hours, amd to be honest I don't remember a precedent. It was enough for me to stay off a tough hour-plus commute in my current work gig for a couple of days. My doctor prescribed a med to settle my stomach. I was skeptical when I purged shortly after my first 8-hour dose, but symptoms improved overnight for the most part.
Latest news items include but are not restricted to:
The unprovoked bloated blog statistics continue. In the meanwhile, my Twitter/X account is now uner 100 impressions daily, which is probably my lowest ever, even during periods I had been shadow banned or suspended. A lot of this is just lower published tweets, in part disinterest in hot trends. I also spend a lot of time commuting to and from mu current job.
I normally avoid discussing specific vendors and their products/services, but I'm goibg to make an exception here. I'm generally a good Amazon customer and have a favorable opinion of many devices I own and transactions. I own a lot of Kindle books (like over 1000). I've been a user of the Kindle for PC app, and I normally download my newly acquired titles. Amazon is good at syncing new purchases to the app, and you can easily right-click and download. new titles. Until some time over the past 2 weeks. For all practical purposes, I can no longer use app to view my books. This doesn't mean I don't have alternatives; I can read on my Amazon Cloud reader. my Amazon Fire tablet, and (I installed and tested while writing this) the Amazon Kindle app on Android. But I spent much of one evening with literally over a half dozen Amazon employees or contractors, none of them who could explain or correct the issue I was experiencing, including the dreaded black exclamation point! You name it--they listed any BS reason you can think of it, including:
utilization of VPN (I usually had VPN on without a Kindle issue but behavior didn't change with VPN turned off)
deinstall/reinstall the app
try pushing the content from Amazon to your device.
one analyst said my digital account didn't a physical address linked to it
deregister the device (this basically meant all previously downloaded boooks were no longer usable)
send a copy of my screenshot of the screen with failed download {next day Amazon customer service saying effectively they didn't know what to do with my email)
I have spent over 2 decades dealing with green Oracle analysts. I've heard it all. Almost nobody can analyze the problem directly:
Mainstream pro-abort media talking points are beyond stupid. Trump's decision not to engage in national abortion policy (unlike pro-aborts looking to codify Roe) is at the heart of the correctly decided Dodd decision. Abortion was never constitutional until SCOTUS invented it.
"Ukrainian Nazis" means MTG has beome Putin's useful idiot. The implicit reference to the Azov battalion brigade is Putin's rationalization for war crimes in invading Ukraine The once right-wing group has been effective in fighting Russians but has never been in leadership.
Rubbish! Civil war "historian", my ass! Same with "treason". This is politically correct claptrap! Reminder: the South did not try to topple the outlaw Lincoln regime. "Heritage" is not a celebration of slavery, but Southern gentility, hospitality, music, cuisine and culture https://t.co/imwQkR51xQ
Showing solidarity with the Ukrainian people by waving their flag, defending themselves against the unprovoked aggression of war criminal Putin, is not "treason". During ou War of Independence, France was a crucial ally. No to Russian imperialism!
Showing solidarity with the Ukrainian people by waving their flag, defending themselves against the unprovoked aggression of war criminal Putin, is not "treason". During ou War of Independence, France was a crucial ally. No to Russian imperialism!
No, Trumpkin MTG is not a conservative policy wonk. Like the endlessly self-promoting Trump, she engages in deliberately provocative antics and rhetoric, such as repeating Putin's propaganda for invading Ukraine https://t.co/E6mUhnJ1X5
Noem is auditioning for the role of Trump's running mate. Trump was indicted for this hush money crime long before a single vote was cast in the 2024 primary. Cohen was Trump's lawyer and fixer; he knows Trump better than a self-serving SD governor. https://t.co/qC7ReXQMVG
Nope. A vote for RFK, Jr. is just that. I will almost certainly vote LP, not anti-vaxxer RFK, Biden or Trump. We have 2 failed Presidents on the ballot. Dems have similarly been promoting GOP Trumpkins. knowing they'll be easier to beat this fall. https://t.co/envAQ9dGJX
You'll notice no daily differentials for the later chart. Worldometer indicates its feeds are no longer consistently ongoing and published its last statistical update earlier this week. So, this will be the last update of this chart. I don't know of a comparable source; I had come across this when CDC had stopped publishing its own dailies.
So, the interested reader may be wondering how long I'll continue publishing this segment. Years back I similarly following the Fukushima accident back in 2011. As the disease becomes more endemic, I'll probably transition off the regular updates, barring something like a more deadly emergent variant; similar considerations include CDC reporting changes.
.We continue to see recovery from the winter surge. As always, I caution readers to be aware of their own community disease statistics (particularly if it's a hotspot) and older or immunocompromised people need to be more proactive in their health because of their higher risk of severe health complications.
News items of interest include but are not restricted to:
A report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine revieed evidence of purported COVID vaccine effects. Note that vaccine harms are generally rare and vaccines prevented over 14 million deaths the first year of release; "The report concludes that two messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) vaccines, manufactured by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna, can cause myocarditis — inflammation of the heart muscle. Evidence suggests the two mRNA vaccines do not cause infertility, Guillain-Barré syndrome, Bell’s palsy, thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS), or myocardial infarction (heart attack). Evidence also suggests the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine does not cause ischemic stroke."
"The World Health Organization (WHO) and around 500 experts have agreed for the first time what it means for a disease to spread through the air, in a bid to avoid the confusion early in the COVID-19 pandemic that some scientists have said cost lives." For example, there was some emphasis on hands hygiene vs. ventilation earlier in the pandemic.
"Aging affects immune response and virus dynamics in COVID-19 patients."
Prosecution of COVID relief fraud and other crimes continues, including:
a Canadian dad abducted his 7-uear-old daughter to keep her from being vaccinated
Visitation restrictions for hositalized COVID patients had negative effects including on family members
" A new study coming out of York University's Centre for Disease Modelling in the Faculty of Science shows that immunity after a COVID-19 booster lasts much longer than the primary series alone."
An Oregon study "finds no link between COVID-19 vaccine and cardiac deaths".
Other Notes
Blogger readership statistics continue to be artificially high, and a recent work crisis kept me from Twitter/X more than usual.
My local utility for some reason is replacing its natural gas meters. I didn't understand why the utility's contractors were hassling me instead of the landlord. I think it may be to reset the pilot lights on the stove/oven. So, because work can often require driving to a worksite 2 hours away on short notice. The reason why that matters was the arrogant contractor was demanding to set an appointment when I was at home. We finally settled on Saturday morning (as granular as they get--so I was resigned to being here until 11:30 AM). I knew immediately the assigned technician was an arrogant jerk from his previsit call to make sure I was home. So the dude shows up and then asks an unexpected question--where's my water heater? I didn't know--not inside the aparment. I know because I lived in a complex a decade ago where inside the aparment it sprung a leak. In my lasr apartment it was actually on a lower-level area; I knew that from a complaint over icy cold showers one week. I guessed it was probably in the back. The guy decides to leave before I can suggest to call apartment maintenance. He hung up my followup call. I tried texting apartment management--no response. I know the contractor already badmouthed me to the utility. What I don't understand is why the freaking contractor company didn't ask this at the time they made an appointment. It's not like I've gone through this particular hassle before.
I basically spent a lot of time this past week resolving a high-profile production database replication technology failure. I interfaced with a talented client system administrator. He is much like my late best friend fellow former doctoral student Bruce Breeding who was a CPA and very detailed. Now, I am very detailed as well (I have articles and book chapters citing hundreds of publications), and I have a pertectionist streak; I would rewrite articles multiple times, working hard on readability and organization. But I was enough of a pragmatist to let a manuscript go. My SA friend went down a lot of rabbit holes: obsessive technical threads. The replication breakdown was having a real world effect. He ran into an issue with database links. I provided him a workaround, but he spent hours until he resolved the database link issue. Functionally it didn't get us to the finish line any faster. He eventually bought into my iterative approach to resolving the problem I do seem to have a talent for getting things done, for getting a project back on track, etc. But dealing with other people, especially those not reporting to you, can be challenging.
McClanahan on The ClintonTrump Debate and Political Discourse
I sometimes clip some of Brion's early (2016 ff) episodes I didn't embed at the time they were initially released Whether or not we'll see any debates this summer/fall between Biden and Trump, but what I hope the reader takes away is not his views on that election so much but how he talks of the inappropriateness of questions outside of the constitutionally strictly enumerated powers and role. POTUS is not a super-legislator, but e.g., he does conduct foreign policy
Why Libertarianism Is Flourishing in Polish Universities