Quote of the Day
Treasure the love you have received above all. It will survive long after your gold and good health have vanished.
Og Mandino
60 Minutes on the Looming Local/State Pension Day of Reckoning
I have written a number of critical post comments on the issue of public pension reform, as recently as yesterday's second segment (referencing a New York Post op-ed). Over the past several years, I don't think I've even interviewed with a prospective employer with a pension plan. Most private-sector companies have been aware of the long-term pension funding liabilities and converted to a 401K style plan (which in many cases match up to 3 points of employee salary, vested by the employees in a few years of employment).
The 60 Minutes piece focuses on risk analysis for the (tax-advantaged) municipal bonds market; in fact, as the segment makes clear, there is a lot of smoke and mirrors putting lipstick on a pig (public sector financial statements). The fear most of us conservatives have is that states, cities and counties will be looking to Uncle Sam for bailouts in dealing with situations caused by unrealistic, overgenerous benefit promises promised by Democratic politicians to their public sector union supporters.
One economist (Joshua Rauh) and his collaborators have estimated nearly $600B in underfunded county and city pension plans (in particular, Chicago and Philadelphia are in trouble) and from $750B to nearly $3T in underfunded state pension plans. We are talking about tens of thousands per household to support generous pension benefits that are not only beyond those for the vast majority of employees in the private sector, but in a large number of cases exceed the income of actively working households.
The writing is on the wall: first, government systems have to start putting all new workers and those with limited tenure, at minimum, on a defined contribution (e.g., 403-B) plan where public matching contributions are limited. Second, we need union givebacks; Chris Christie is far too nice a guy. I have no problem with going to bankruptcy court to be rid of unafforable pension obligations. If the unions were smart, they would negotiate a buyout to a lump-sum contribution related to tenure, roughly a standard employer contribution plus interest. A buyout is better than losing everything in bankruptcy court. There will be no more Obama union-favored bankruptcies.