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Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Obama: Politically Exploiting the AIG Bonus Issue

I'm personally tired of hearing Obama blast the "recklessness and greed" of Wall Street. The "extra pay" he derides is misleading; apparently many of these bonuses were for purposes of retention, so that the best and the brightest would not jump ship as AIG's financial condition began to deteriorate. Many people sneer at the concept of a retention bonus, feeling that given 8% unemployment and a devastated financial services industry, these executives have no alternative to stave off being unemployed and unemployable. But Andrew Sorkin, in his recent New York Times article "The Case for Paying Out Bonuses at AIG", quotes Pearl Meyer, a compensation consultant, as saying that the AIG executives are being heavily recruited, and already many, after receiving the bonuses, have jumped ship. (There could be a variety of reasons for this; for example, competitors to AIG  may be trying to raid AIG's top customers, looking to trade advantageously against AIG, or looking to possibly acquire AIG businesses, or perhaps consultancies can charge the government huge fees for discovering where the bodies are buried in the complex accounting of relevant transactions.)

The ironic thing is that the hostile public reaction against AIG or its bonuses makes the retention problem even worse--and is killing the federal government chances of spinning off all or individual profitable operations to the private sector at a decent price, which could reduce the net cost to the American taxpayer. The last thing Obama needs is not containing the AIG problem, which is difficult when the executives in the know are deserting, given very low morale and being publicly blasted by politicians and the press. Should Obama know better? Of course. An experienced executive would know that, but not Obama. But then blame the American people for electing an inexperienced leader. Obama couldn't see the big picture but was afraid the AIG situation was hurting his public approval ratings and wanted to remind the American people no one does class warfare rhetoric better than he does.

If Obama wants to continue such rhetoric, I feel we should in turn talk about pay-for-performance in Congress and the White House, which seem to be good at only one thing: running up the federal deficit. It turns out that the Congress continues to play games with compensation, even whether it should have an automatic raise (without evidence of better productivity)--but then you see expense accounts being padded.

The fact is that Obama's own administration and outside lawyers have reviewed the AIG contracts and concluded they are enforceable. This means not only will the bonuses have to be paid, but the US government would have to pay for the employees' legal fees if and when they almost certainly would lose the court cases. But maybe we're expecting too much of Obama; it's not like he has a Harvard law degree and is a former editor of its Law Review. Oh, wait a minute...